Friday, September 3, 2010

EconomicCrisis.US

news, analytics, recommendations

How Hyperinflation Will Happen

Posted under Analytics

Right now, we are in the middle of deflation. The Global Depression we are experiencing has squeezed both aggregate demand levels and aggregate asset prices as never before. Since the credit crunch of September 2008, the U.S. and world economies have been slowly circling the deflationary drain.
To counter this, the U.S. government has been running [...]

Experts see trouble ahead for developed world

Posted under Opinions

Is the global economy out of the woods? Two years after near-meltdown, with the U.S. looking sluggish, equity markets groggy and Europeans fighting a debt crisis, experts gathered in Italy offered a generally gloomy outlook — especially for the United States and much of the industrialized world.
The doomsayers were led by New York University economist [...]

How to Double Your Profits When Treasuries Tumble

Posted under Recommendations

If you’re like me and reluctant to join the stock market frenzy with open arms, then consider buying reverse index funds that bet against Treasury bonds.
This strategy offers a high value alternative to joining a 50%-plus stock market rally since March as long-term interest rates rise on most days when the stock market climbs.
As stocks [...]

Analytics

The U.S. is a mess. Should we invest overseas?

Question: Looking into the future of the American economy, I see tons of debt, the yoke of increasing social spending, pork-fed bureaucratic waste, the exporting of jobs and the importing of poverty. While this may paint a negative picture, I feel it’s reality. We all want to be patriotic, but aren’t there more fiscally responsible [...]

Opinions

Press Isn’t Talking Us Into Recession

Should we blame newspapers for talking down the U.S. economy, maybe even to the cusp of a double dip?
That’s the contention of equity bulls. They argue that, despite reasonably solid fundamentals, the media’s unrelenting gloominess about the state of the world is proving a drag on sentiment. Declining consumer and business confidence will then cause [...]

News

U.S. Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Rises in August

U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly rose to 53.5 in August, the Conference Board said, as Americans became somewhat more positive about the short-term outlook for the economy.
A Bloomberg survey had expected the index to rise to 51.0 in August from 50.4 in July. It hit a record low of 25.3 in April 2009.
In August, two of [...]

Analytics

The uncomfortable mathematics of monetary policy

Bigger, as the Federal Reserve may soon discover, is not always better.
The prospect of a renewed effort by the U.S. central bank to drive down already super-low borrowing costs raises the issue of whether such measures can help stimulate a recovery that is faltering due to a lack of consumer demand.
The sorry state of the [...]