Friday, September 3, 2010

EconomicCrisis.US

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Archive for April, 2009

capitalismEverywhere you turn, billboards are advertising the failure of capitalism. Not literally, of course, but the equivalent. The view that the current financial crisis is always and everywhere a market failure is cropping up in the most unlikely places, including that bastion of free-market capitalism, Chicago.

The latest convert to the cause is Richard Posner, judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit, senior lecturer at the University of Chicago Law School and author of a new book, “A Failure of Capitalism: The Crisis of ‘08 and the Descent into Depression.”
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wall-stThe Commerce Department reported Wednesday that US gross domestic product (GDP) plunged 6.1 percent on an annual basis in the first quarter of 2009, a far deeper decline than had been predicted by economists. Following a 6.3 percent decline in the last three months of 2008, the Commerce Department report registered the biggest six-month economic contraction in more than 50 years.

The first quarter decline also marked the third straight quarterly contraction, the first time this has occurred in 34 years.

The bleak figures herald a continuing surge in unemployment, already officially at 8.5 percent. More than 5 million jobs have been wiped out in the US since the recession began in December of 2007, and more than 600,000 jobs are disappearing every month. Next month the current slump will become the longest since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
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Swine Flu vs. Financial Panics

April - 30 - 2009

economic_panicThere is much to fear about a new virus. Less than a century ago, a major global flu pandemic cost millions of lives. We have all become more globalized and physically interconnected since then, and the amount of international travel today is remarkable — official estimates are that, at any one time, about 500,000 people are in airplanes. We also don’t know much about this new virus, except that it can spread quickly and in some instances can be fatal.

I’m concerned about this virus and taking it seriously; the loss of life is already tragic. Yet I’m currently much less worried about the swine flu outbreak, in terms of both its economic impact and how it will affect lives, than I am about the continuing financial system disruption in the United States, Western Europe and around the world.
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debtThe Treasury plans to sell a record $71 billion in quarterly auctions of long-term debt next week as the government seeks to finance its unprecedented fiscal stimulus and financial rescue programs.

The amount was in line with the median forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News. Government debt managers also plan to boost the auctions of 30-year securities to once a month from the current schedule of eight times a year, a Treasury statement in Washington showed today.

The Treasury plans to auction $35 billion in three-year notes on May 5, $22 billion in 10-year notes May 6 and $14 billion in 30-year bonds May 7.
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