Nation’s top financial forecaster inspired by outdoors, exercise Friday, October 31, 2008
Joel Naroff was visiting Arizona in September 2005 when he had an epiphany. Phoenix-area Realtors were looking for home prices in the metropolitan area to surge about 40 percent for a second year.
“That was an indication to me that the market had gotten out of control,” he recalls.
Naroff’s concern about a housing bubble paid off three years later: He’s the top forecaster of the U.S. economy in a period that included the start of the global credit crisis, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Naroff, 59, was the most accurate for his combined predictions for Gross Domestic Product, unemployment, the Consumer Price Index and the Federal Reserve’s benchmark interest rate.
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